The Terminal
This is the only page on the site with real numbers on it. Prices come from CoinGecko’s public endpoint; once $SITCHY is deployed, token figures will come from DexScreener. Both are fetched in your browser, so what you see is what the API returned to you, not what we cached and told you about.
Where a value is not available, the terminal says so. It does not fill the gap. This is a lower bar than it sounds like and most dashboards do not clear it.
Quotes
Token
Holder count requires a Solana indexer, which is not connected. It reads “—” rather than a guess, and it is excluded from the index below rather than defaulted.
Situational Awareness Index
Market score — weighted average of what resolved
Coverage — 0 of 100 weight resolved
Situational awareness index = market score × coverage
The index is discounted by coverage on purpose. A number called “situational awareness” cannot report —/100 while blind to 100 of 100 weight — not knowing things is the condition it measures.
Thesis confidence (hardcoded constant, not measured)
Actual confidence (= the computed index above)
Current situation
UNKNOWN.
Feed
Excluded from the index (100 of 100 weight): btc 24h volatility, sol 24h volatility, sol turnover, market-wide drawdown pressure, $sitchy 24h volatility, $sitchy liquidity depth, holder concentration, social velocity. Their weight is redistributed across the components that resolved.
How the index is computed
The index is two numbers multiplied together. The market score is a weighted average of the components below, on a 0–100 scale where 100 is calm, liquid and boring and 0 means you are in a situation. Components whose inputs are unavailable are dropped and their weight redistributed across the rest — never defaulted to a flattering value. Coverage is the share of total weight that actually resolved.
index = market score × coverage
The multiplication is deliberate, and it is the one design decision here we would argue for. A metric named “situational awareness” cannot honestly report a high number while blind to a third of its own inputs, because not knowing things is exactly the condition it claims to measure. So missing data pulls the index down rather than being quietly waved through, and both factors are displayed separately so nothing hides inside the product.
| Component | Weight | Score | How it is computed |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC 24h volatility | 15 | N/A | Absolute 24-hour move in BTC. 0% scores 100; a 8% move in either direction scores 0. Price feed unavailable. |
| SOL 24h volatility | 20 | N/A | Absolute 24-hour move in SOL, the chain this token lives on. 0% scores 100; a 12% move scores 0. Price feed unavailable. |
| SOL turnover | 15 | N/A | 24-hour volume divided by market cap. Elevated turnover means people are repositioning fast. 2% scores 100; 15% scores 0. Volume or market cap unavailable. |
| Market-wide drawdown pressure | 15 | N/A | The average of BTC and SOL 24-hour returns, counted only when negative. Flat or up scores 100; a joint 10% decline scores 0. Price feeds unavailable. |
| $SITCHY 24h volatility | 10 | N/A | Absolute 24-hour move in the token itself. 0% scores 100; a 40% move scores 0. Token not yet deployed. |
| $SITCHY liquidity depth | 10 | N/A | Pool liquidity as a share of market cap. Thin liquidity means the exit is narrower than it looks. 15% scores 100; 1% scores 0. Token not yet deployed. |
| Holder concentration | 10 | N/A | Share of supply held by the top 10 wallets. Requires a Solana indexer, which is not wired up. Requires an indexer (Helius/Solscan) — not connected. |
| Social velocity | 5 | N/A | Rate of change in mentions. Requires a social data provider, which is not wired up. Requires a social data provider — not connected. |
Currently resolving 0 of 100 total weight (0% coverage). An index built on part of its inputs should say so, so it does — and should be marked down for it, so it is.
Why the two confidence figures differ
Thesis confidence is 99.7%. It is hardcoded. It is not derived from data, it has never been backtested, and it does not move. It is there because it is what a confidence figure looks like in a document of this format.
Actual confidence is the computed index, which moves when the market moves and is marked down for every input the terminal cannot see. The gap between the two is the entire content of this website, and it is the one thing here we would defend in front of a committee.
If you want to see the same idea applied to your own position rather than to the market in general, the simulator will compute the exact move that takes it away from you.
Nothing on this page is financial advice and no figure here predicts a price. The arithmetic is real; the conviction is ours. Use your situational awareness.